Jul 242016
 
This market is nuts. Bonds and Dollar go up so the stupid market goes up. WTF! This usually doesn’t happen. On Friday the ES (S&P 500 mini) sat at the highs for hours and there wasn’t a lot of buying to “kill the bears” as I was watching the contacts getting gobbled up on the ladder. My scalping rule #1 is “low volume chop, kill the bears”, and sure enough it worked but hardly as it finally broke the upper levels as you can see on the intraday chart chop zone. Just hours of low volume chop bullshit.
2016-07-22_17-22-38
Just look at the chart of bonds. How many times is this thing going to test 171? 5,6,7… I actually traded it to the short side as it went for the second test for a great trade but since then I’m scared cause you can flip a coin for the next move. I love the resemblance of a rock skipping on a pond.
2016-07-22_17-03-51
COT is a bit more bullish and makes me want to puke. Producers are getting more short which is bullish. Also leveraged funds are getting more long.2016-07-22_16-43-32
A couple things I’ll be watching.
DX – US Dollar pull back off of 98.
2016-07-24_22-34-50
That pull back would create a head fake on the Canadian Dollar which seems to be about to fall off a cliff.
6C – Canadian Dollar looks to be setting up for a huge move lower but if the US dollar falls hard off of 98 then this will be a nice long to hold it’s range. I’m more looking to short the 6C on a big move lower than to look for it to hold cause it’s been testing this area and it’s an inverted head-and-shoulders and a solid ADX lift on the recent move down.
2016-07-24_22-39-51
GC – If gold doesn’t hold the 1315 it’s going to definitely test the 1300 and my main target will be 1260 for a nice bounce. The thing that is driving me nuts is that I longed it Wed on a huge bullish day and the technicals worked with it being “weak trending” in an “over sold” condition, but now it pulled all the way back to my entry and now it seems the ADX may become a trending market to the down side, so I got a tight stop and may possibly reverse my position to ride it down.
2016-07-24_21-45-49
I’m hoping the trendline holds… But I do have a pretty tight stop here.
2016-07-24_22-55-25
So with the market holding up, the bonds held, gold held, and the dollar ripping I’m thinking when the dollar pulls back, gold continues down, and bonds break down, this market will rip to all time new highs. My ES (S&P 500 mini) target is 2200 and then this thing is in major trouble after that.
Ideally I’d like to see the inverse which is gold goes up, bonds go up, dollar ranges, and the main market get’s crushed but the price action on Friday seemed that the market makers want it higher, probably to make sure every old senile grandmother type will have every last penny in the market before they crash it.  😉
HG – One more thing. Watching for major break out in copper with a cup and handle pattern and major decending trendline break. That’s somewhat bullish too.
2016-07-24_22-41-49
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Jul 072016
 


JVonD and David Brill talk about this crazy ass market.

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DISCLAIMER - JVOND SUCKS AT INVESTING! FOR LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY!
Jun 282016
 


JVonD shows you the most important rule to scalping the Mini S&P 500 futures contract. Learn really good strategies for scalping and large swing trades. BTW- I’m the dumbass…

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Jun 282016
 

BUY /ZOZ6 @202.25
Well, I’m going for it again. Contracts are changing over and shit looks good for the oats trade. You have to look at the December contract otherwise the chart looks completely different. 200 seems like a huge support and after the stupid BREXIT ripped the dollar and brought down commodities she should be good. I’m a little concerned with a report coming out on Thursday but for the most part the COT and crop progress seems a bit bullish. I’m really hoping the other grains start rallying again, that would help..

2016-06-28_Oats

6/30/16 – SELL /ZOZ6 @202.25
I had to pull it off cause of a big crop report coming out.

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Jun 242016
 


Witness the historic BREXIT circuit breaker crash in all it’s glory!

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Jun 212016
 

– SOLD STRANGLE FDX 100 (Weeklys) 24 JUN 16 172.5/152.5 CALL/PUT @1.19
Here’s an earnings play. I could get right around double the market maker move and I don’t expect FedEx to move to much. Got filled right at the bell for a nice credit.

2016-06-21_FedEx

6/22/16 – BUY FDX 100 (Weeklys) 24 JUN 16 152.5 PUT @.61
What look like a perfect trade kinda fell out of bed. I took off the call side for free commissions at $.05 but then the stock crashed and pumped up the price of the puts so they went from $.20 to $.55 super fast. I should have taken it off as a package deal right at the open for a much better price but unfortunately the stock crashed hard at open. Stupid move on my part to try and save a little in commissions. Backfire! But overall a really nice trade.

2016-06-22_FDX

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Jun 092016
 

BUY /HGV6 @2.03

I’m buying Oct copper. That shit kick’s ass!

High Grade Copper

6/14/16 – SELL /HGV6 @2.0475
Pulled it off right before a huge rally. I got scared and missed out but I took some decent profits, a few hundred bucks. I have an order in to go long a little lower than my original.

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