Sep 022016
 


JVonD is joined by David Brill, Joe Farah, & Oscar to talk about some FED bullshit. Lots of levels and charts discussed. Prokicker and ZOOZOO get down to business.

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DISCLAIMER - JVOND SUCKS AT INVESTING! FOR LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY!
Aug 302016
 

BUY /LEZ6 @107.15

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The big johnson candle. DEC Live Cattle. The price action today was nuts. Going into the close there was major buying following a slow depressing grind lower. Looks like a head fake break down there. Go long!

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I’ve been catching some good trades on Cattle and Hogs at these low levels but I haven’t been posting them. Kinda chilling out on the Market Trade posts. I did long lean hogs though recently and I’m in the red. Look for big moves off the harvest lows dudes!!!  With all the commods on lows they should make monster moves to the up side VERY soon.
Don’t forget I’m watching December contracts! You need to be able to take a ton of pain. Like a kick in the nuts. For example I was already in cattle this morning so I was down around $450 before they rallied it into the close. Ended up with $500 positive and hopefully we’ll see a lot more big players step in for tomorrows trade after they take notice of this price action.

nutcrush

9/6/16 – BUY /LEZ6 @103
I’m getting fucking hosed. I made a perfect trade for a day and didn’t take it off. DOH! Just added 1 more. Man, good think I got balls of titanium. This is really something you should never do. My brain keeps telling me to stay in the trade because of certain levels on the big picture. How much lower can it go?  Shit I don’t know but I guess it’s good for the poor cows if those stupid cow Nazi’s can’t farm them no more.

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9/8/16 – Holy fuck! These god dam bastards keep trying to shake everyone out. It’s like they literally hold traders by their ankle upside down and shake every last penny out of them. So I’m noticing a couple things about the cattle trades and looking at the big picture you’ll notice that we are pretty much on the lower value area of the all the collected volume from the last 10 years. Looks like Feeder Cattle (GF) has a little more room for downside but the Live Cattle (LE) has already hit what seems to be the bottom sitting well below the 10 year lower value area.

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So I’m holding my Live Cattle and getting hammered on it. I feel like the Michael Burry from the story “The Big Short” when he holds his position for a long long time while the crooks on Wall Street jack the market and he gets crushed in the process until the trade finally turns his direction. I need to dig out my heavy metal albums I think. I’m ready to double my position when these fucking assholes push it even lower. So folks, if you learn anything from this trade it is wait for the trade to “turn and confirm” and don’t try and catch the falling knife.

9/9/16 – SOLD/LEZ6 @104.975

9/12/16 – So I put a limit order to get out of one of my contracts right around my average which got filled Friday. I did have to pay up for it by just a few but it was worth it because the 105 seemed like it had a little resistance and in case they crushed it again I wanted to be able to double down when it sank lower again. Fortunately it didn’t drop and we may have just seen a BIG bottom in Live Cattle. YEY!  I do have a stop right now at 105.90 and now trading 106.725 I have a great chance of keeping the trade going because I’m hoping tomorrow it will clear 107 and it seems there is good support here and today was WASDE so to see good up momentum following WASDE is strong. So at this time my average for my trade should be right around 105.25ish. So this will be a profitable trade unless I do something real stupid and take my stop out which I don’t want to do and like Gary Kamen says “Do not let a winning trade turn into a loser.” which I did at the very beginning of this trade. Here’s what I’m thinking, if there is a DI cross coming up I will be looking to add in contracts or scalp intraday long. Here’s the cool thing. If I see the confirmations I’m looking for I can simply scalp off value area low resets and stay in as long as possible and if the trade go’s against me I can leave it on and be confident that the chances of it being a positive trade before contract expiration is very good. Got to be on the right side of the big picture. I have to keep an eye on the long term trend. Hope to see the 10 year POC (point of control) on the chart above which is around 124. Below you can see the current daily chart with the DI cross I’m looking for.

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9/13/16 – SOLD/LEZ6 @105.90
Darn it! They are gonna chop this sucker. I’m out with a small profit. I’ll be looking to buy the dip.

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DISCLAIMER – JVOND SUCKS AT INVESTING! FOR LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY!

Aug 292016
 

What a great speech. It’s really to bad because I don’t have any hope for the US political system or our society for the most part. By now I would have thought by this day and age the American people would finally pull their heads out of their asses and refuse to support the Republicans and Democrats. How much more crap do they have to do to try and convince the American people that they are unacceptable?  I feel like I live in LaLa Land because I see people online who post comments about supporting the Dem/Rep candidate in the upcoming election. In my mind if a person is willing to vote for them then they are in serious need for psychotic mental therapy because the poor sucker has been brain washed beyond repair, and I’m sure those ppl think the same about me because I’ve been “throwing my vote away” as an independent for decades. I called bullshit on our government decades ago and the country is still in the same crazy downward spiral that it’s been in since forever ago, but way worse!! Maybe the dumbing down of society actually worked. Well it’s either me or them. Most likely me…

Enjoy this speech by a whistle blower. Remember when ppl appreciated them? Now our society with their fat filled brains will call this a conspiracy theory or something stupid. Our society would rather take political advice from our jerk off celebrities going on stage saying a bunch of BS. Earth to sucker,, they are part of the problem!

Bottom line is nothing will ever get better until every single political online comment says something along the lines of “fuck them mother-fuckers” when talking about Dem and Rep.

Who wants more blood on their hands?  Just vote for the 2 party system.

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I’m voting Oscar for President because he knows how to say “Fuck them Mother-Fuckers” like a champ.

Aug 142016
 


JVonD and Aphonix get back to jamming after a busy spring.  Lots of experimental music and Octatrack/Synth talk. Plus a few clips from the Colorado Belt.
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Aug 132016
 

The DJI fricken finally hit an all-time new high on Thursday. I’ve been patiently waiting cause it seems to be the major index that’s been trying to play catch up. So now being short is a little easier for me.

Will it get to the upper trendline?  Maybe but I doubt it.

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It’s showing a little trend in this push up but if it breaks my moving-averages then I will be looking for an extended short swing trade on the DEC future contracts. But which one should I choose?

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At a quick glance is seems the NQ is the most over-baked at this point with it being extremely over bought for the last, I donno, month! WTF!  It’s really hard to say.  Pic your poison. I like how the TF is looking just cause I really don’t think it’s got much left in it and it seems the weakest. If it does go then I’l be looking for a solid 1200 test then an extended push into the lower value area and a test of 1150.

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I do like how the NDX is so over-extended and a close below the old high of 4740 would be a great sign of more short sided trades all the way back to 4500.

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The SPX is stupid. I’m sick of this index but as you can see it too is over extended and I do have short orders in a little higher up just for the hell of it.

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Either way this market is ridiculous and I won’t be going long, besides the occasional scalp when they kill the bears.

Jul 242016
 
This market is nuts. Bonds and Dollar go up so the stupid market goes up. WTF! This usually doesn’t happen. On Friday the ES (S&P 500 mini) sat at the highs for hours and there wasn’t a lot of buying to “kill the bears” as I was watching the contacts getting gobbled up on the ladder. My scalping rule #1 is “low volume chop, kill the bears”, and sure enough it worked but hardly as it finally broke the upper levels as you can see on the intraday chart chop zone. Just hours of low volume chop bullshit.
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Just look at the chart of bonds. How many times is this thing going to test 171? 5,6,7… I actually traded it to the short side as it went for the second test for a great trade but since then I’m scared cause you can flip a coin for the next move. I love the resemblance of a rock skipping on a pond.
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COT is a bit more bullish and makes me want to puke. Producers are getting more short which is bullish. Also leveraged funds are getting more long.2016-07-22_16-43-32
A couple things I’ll be watching.
DX – US Dollar pull back off of 98.
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That pull back would create a head fake on the Canadian Dollar which seems to be about to fall off a cliff.
6C – Canadian Dollar looks to be setting up for a huge move lower but if the US dollar falls hard off of 98 then this will be a nice long to hold it’s range. I’m more looking to short the 6C on a big move lower than to look for it to hold cause it’s been testing this area and it’s an inverted head-and-shoulders and a solid ADX lift on the recent move down.
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GC – If gold doesn’t hold the 1315 it’s going to definitely test the 1300 and my main target will be 1260 for a nice bounce. The thing that is driving me nuts is that I longed it Wed on a huge bullish day and the technicals worked with it being “weak trending” in an “over sold” condition, but now it pulled all the way back to my entry and now it seems the ADX may become a trending market to the down side, so I got a tight stop and may possibly reverse my position to ride it down.
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I’m hoping the trendline holds… But I do have a pretty tight stop here.
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So with the market holding up, the bonds held, gold held, and the dollar ripping I’m thinking when the dollar pulls back, gold continues down, and bonds break down, this market will rip to all time new highs. My ES (S&P 500 mini) target is 2200 and then this thing is in major trouble after that.
Ideally I’d like to see the inverse which is gold goes up, bonds go up, dollar ranges, and the main market get’s crushed but the price action on Friday seemed that the market makers want it higher, probably to make sure every old senile grandmother type will have every last penny in the market before they crash it.  😉
HG – One more thing. Watching for major break out in copper with a cup and handle pattern and major decending trendline break. That’s somewhat bullish too.
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DISCLAIMER - JVOND SUCKS AT INVESTING! FOR LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY!
Jul 072016
 


JVonD and David Brill talk about this crazy ass market.

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DISCLAIMER - JVOND SUCKS AT INVESTING! FOR LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY!
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