May 242017
 

My Trade Buddy JHunt told me to believe, but I’m just not feeling the Euro trade he mentioned.. It’s not really my style I guess. But I do believe in his trade and if it works out then my trade will surely be very nice.  =D

GIVE ME SOME BEANS!!!!!!!  Crush my nuts if you want and make oil and meal out of them and feed them to livestock. They are made of titanium and love prevails. My love for beans and the farmers busting their ass to feed us for pennies. Let’s do it funds. You want to mess with me. I’m going to kick your ass!

Over sold, weak trending market,,  Kamen would say “Got to look for the move up”.

Crop condition reports will start up in a couple weeks. As for now stagnant chop with the funds holding shorts like a bunch of jerks trying to screw everyone.

The funds will reverse, China buying more and more at a record pace, US farmers getting washed out, Brazil currency reversed back up, USD coming off..
Fundamentals are strong!!

  • BUY ZSX7 @ 9492

NOVE BEANS! I believe! But not as much like Lenny Kravits and more like Polar Express.

Believe this ->

Pulled off the position today and had some good trades in beans. It was tough but it worked out. Got like 27$ out of it. Here’s the updates – https://www.reddit.com/r/Commodities/comments/6d7b9m/i_believe_soybeans/

May 152017
 

I WANT OATS!!!!  I’M HUNGRY!!

Give me my oats!  Hurry up.  I bought them today with an old order that I forgot about, but I pulled it off on the opening gap this evening for a little change. But shoot, I put another order at 224.25, the bottom of the diamond. Now as soon as these jerks (like Colbert) get done slamming it I’ll be buying me some of that stuff.

COT looks pretty good too.

Gonna put the order at the 200DMA.

-BUY ZON7 224.25

May 092017
 

What’s the hold up? Just a heads up on Wheat. Everybody and their grandma eats wheat. I want to point out the back month future contract labeled “U” or September. Keep an eye on this level. Coming into this contract we can see some contango (AKA:forwardation) and it has major support at 440 which kinda like 420ish on the front month. This level on the “U” contract is like a concrete block in my view. Check it out.

Now let’s just check out what the big funds are doing when looking at the COT report. 

Just a week ago the funds were shorter than ever and were making all the bulls bleed to death. But if we look at the last move we can see a COT reversal. Which is looking nice for some possible bullish action. So as much as the funds were short wheat the price action held super strong at 440. It can not break down!, as though it seems. Last week we had a massive rally because of crappy weather, which I don’t think has fully been reported as far as damage to the crop, but then the profit takers came in which I think are just the funds jerking the small guys around. Also other fundamentals like a much smaller 2017 planting acreage is in play. So, Wheat,, LETS GO!

So that’s it. We’ll be keeping a close eye on this market on #TradeBuddiesLive. Although it COULD crash, I think it’s a really nice long play here real soon and I think the sell off the last couple days is complete horse malarkey.

-BUY ZWU7 – $440.25

Aug 302016
 

BUY /LEZ6 @107.15

2016-08-30_11-58-17

The big johnson candle. DEC Live Cattle. The price action today was nuts. Going into the close there was major buying following a slow depressing grind lower. Looks like a head fake break down there. Go long!

download

I’ve been catching some good trades on Cattle and Hogs at these low levels but I haven’t been posting them. Kinda chilling out on the Market Trade posts. I did long lean hogs though recently and I’m in the red. Look for big moves off the harvest lows dudes!!!  With all the commods on lows they should make monster moves to the up side VERY soon.
Don’t forget I’m watching December contracts! You need to be able to take a ton of pain. Like a kick in the nuts. For example I was already in cattle this morning so I was down around $450 before they rallied it into the close. Ended up with $500 positive and hopefully we’ll see a lot more big players step in for tomorrows trade after they take notice of this price action.

nutcrush

9/6/16 – BUY /LEZ6 @103
I’m getting fucking hosed. I made a perfect trade for a day and didn’t take it off. DOH! Just added 1 more. Man, good think I got balls of titanium. This is really something you should never do. My brain keeps telling me to stay in the trade because of certain levels on the big picture. How much lower can it go?  Shit I don’t know but I guess it’s good for the poor cows if those stupid cow Nazi’s can’t farm them no more.

9_6_2016 , 12_39_29 PM

9/8/16 – Holy fuck! These god dam bastards keep trying to shake everyone out. It’s like they literally hold traders by their ankle upside down and shake every last penny out of them. So I’m noticing a couple things about the cattle trades and looking at the big picture you’ll notice that we are pretty much on the lower value area of the all the collected volume from the last 10 years. Looks like Feeder Cattle (GF) has a little more room for downside but the Live Cattle (LE) has already hit what seems to be the bottom sitting well below the 10 year lower value area.

2016-09-08_GF

2016-09-08_LE

So I’m holding my Live Cattle and getting hammered on it. I feel like the Michael Burry from the story “The Big Short” when he holds his position for a long long time while the crooks on Wall Street jack the market and he gets crushed in the process until the trade finally turns his direction. I need to dig out my heavy metal albums I think. I’m ready to double my position when these fucking assholes push it even lower. So folks, if you learn anything from this trade it is wait for the trade to “turn and confirm” and don’t try and catch the falling knife.

9/9/16 – SOLD/LEZ6 @104.975

9/12/16 – So I put a limit order to get out of one of my contracts right around my average which got filled Friday. I did have to pay up for it by just a few but it was worth it because the 105 seemed like it had a little resistance and in case they crushed it again I wanted to be able to double down when it sank lower again. Fortunately it didn’t drop and we may have just seen a BIG bottom in Live Cattle. YEY!  I do have a stop right now at 105.90 and now trading 106.725 I have a great chance of keeping the trade going because I’m hoping tomorrow it will clear 107 and it seems there is good support here and today was WASDE so to see good up momentum following WASDE is strong. So at this time my average for my trade should be right around 105.25ish. So this will be a profitable trade unless I do something real stupid and take my stop out which I don’t want to do and like Gary Kamen says “Do not let a winning trade turn into a loser.” which I did at the very beginning of this trade. Here’s what I’m thinking, if there is a DI cross coming up I will be looking to add in contracts or scalp intraday long. Here’s the cool thing. If I see the confirmations I’m looking for I can simply scalp off value area low resets and stay in as long as possible and if the trade go’s against me I can leave it on and be confident that the chances of it being a positive trade before contract expiration is very good. Got to be on the right side of the big picture. I have to keep an eye on the long term trend. Hope to see the 10 year POC (point of control) on the chart above which is around 124. Below you can see the current daily chart with the DI cross I’m looking for.

2016-09-12_LE

9/13/16 – SOLD/LEZ6 @105.90
Darn it! They are gonna chop this sucker. I’m out with a small profit. I’ll be looking to buy the dip.

2016-09-13_LE

DISCLAIMER – JVOND SUCKS AT INVESTING! FOR LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY!

Jun 282016
 

BUY /ZOZ6 @202.25
Well, I’m going for it again. Contracts are changing over and shit looks good for the oats trade. You have to look at the December contract otherwise the chart looks completely different. 200 seems like a huge support and after the stupid BREXIT ripped the dollar and brought down commodities she should be good. I’m a little concerned with a report coming out on Thursday but for the most part the COT and crop progress seems a bit bullish. I’m really hoping the other grains start rallying again, that would help..

2016-06-28_Oats

6/30/16 – SELL /ZOZ6 @202.25
I had to pull it off cause of a big crop report coming out.

DISCLAIMER – JVOND SUCKS AT INVESTING! FOR LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY!

Jun 212016
 

– SOLD STRANGLE FDX 100 (Weeklys) 24 JUN 16 172.5/152.5 CALL/PUT @1.19
Here’s an earnings play. I could get right around double the market maker move and I don’t expect FedEx to move to much. Got filled right at the bell for a nice credit.

2016-06-21_FedEx

6/22/16 – BUY FDX 100 (Weeklys) 24 JUN 16 152.5 PUT @.61
What look like a perfect trade kinda fell out of bed. I took off the call side for free commissions at $.05 but then the stock crashed and pumped up the price of the puts so they went from $.20 to $.55 super fast. I should have taken it off as a package deal right at the open for a much better price but unfortunately the stock crashed hard at open. Stupid move on my part to try and save a little in commissions. Backfire! But overall a really nice trade.

2016-06-22_FDX

DISCLAIMER - JVOND SUCKS AT INVESTING! FOR LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY!
Jun 092016
 

BUY /HGV6 @2.03

I’m buying Oct copper. That shit kick’s ass!

High Grade Copper

6/14/16 – SELL /HGV6 @2.0475
Pulled it off right before a huge rally. I got scared and missed out but I took some decent profits, a few hundred bucks. I have an order in to go long a little lower than my original.

DISCLAIMER - JVOND SUCKS AT INVESTING! FOR LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY!
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