Feb 142017

It’s Valentines Day so don’t forget to buy chocolate. It’s got to be fricken cheap! How much lower can it go?  WTF!

This monthly (May contract) chart is showing a serious move. WOW! I’m focusing on May cause the March is coming to an end and rolling will be taking effect soon. Does anyone dare take this long here..? Look at the opinions.

“Oh the humanity!”

The funds tend to never be short cocoa. The only other time was in 2012! and they don’t seem to like being short.

Who dares take this long here!!??  Who’s got the titanium balls to take the trade and take the pain..?  It could be like like having a terminator smashing your balls non-stop for eternity

This reminds me of when cattle futures got so far below value that the snap back “rips your head off”.

Some news are saying, “The beans are piling up at ports” like the shit piles left behind from the bulls.

Dec 252016

BIG MOVE in the COT! which is a sign that big money is on the move. So lets keep an eye on the big rally starting now in the Swiss Franc. It kinda seems like the funds just reversed as you can see in the lower COT studies of this chart. Lots of support coming in here. Let’s watch open interest. Merry Christmas! We had a great celebration here so let’s keep it going.

Big fund move in Swiss Franc. Christmas!

Also going to look long for Japanese Yen. Dealer Intermediary looks to be short covering. With these big money moves I’ll be looking for mid/long term swing trades and long sided scalps on dips.

Japanese Yen big COT move.

Nov 072016

Wow!  Full on tests on just about everything AG & Live Stock. Seems most markets have now turned from a supply market to a demand market.

WHEAT chop… I kept trying to grab the WHEAT break out at 420 but I got grassed (weak trending market) so I’ve been patiently waiting. So here we can see a nice pull back but if you notice today’s price action there is a wick into the close. They tried to push it lower but buyers stepped in at those lower prices and it closed up nicely off the bottom. We were about to see a bearish engulfing but with the pull back we should see some upside tomorrow.


CORN tested that 345 which is what Bubba was talking about buying a week ago and we can see today there was a major base created there intraday where hardly any traded the 345 but the 345.25 was bought up and it held into the close. I will most likely buy this following this price action. Everyday there seems to be good demand coming in. Watch tomorrow for a break out!



BEANS was looking for the close above 1000 but didn’t get that although it did test it. If it is very bullish above 1000 take it long and you can have a pretty tight stop just below the 1000 or an add in a little lower. I almost want a “Buy Stop” GTC just above the 1000.

OATS was a great trade for me but now we see it wants more. But if you look at the bigger picture, like the 1 year volume profile, it is on major resistance. If it can’t punch through the 230 I may just have to short this thing but I really don’t like the long here especially cause the tweezer top.


LIVE STOCK!!! Bought Feeder Cattle off the floor. I have a great trade with a good stop for profit. The mid price was below my stop into the server close but the pit close was well above my stop. They wicked new lows and closed above that with a good cushion. Seems there is buyers and strong value here on all live stock. There’s wicks on the bottoms showing that they tested some key areas and that buying had come in. Look at the whole numbers. 116, 100, 47


Don’t forget to look at the different contracts and not just active. What I thought was going to be the most boring chop day ended up showing some major key signs.
GOOD LUCK!  I’m bullish here in just about all the Ags, and live stock above, besides Oats, with the price action.

Nov 022016

I was interested to see how big 100,000 ton’s of corn really is. I get export updates emailed to me daily that look like this.


Found a vid of a crap load of corn.

Oct 262016

JVonD gives you a wealth of trading tips. He explains the importance of using longer term volume profile charts to help catch long trends and how to use that with his new trading checklist. And much much more!


Oct 182016

Grains – Pull back maybe coming up on the 3 main grains. Wheat, Corn, and Beans. If they form a handle and break out it could be the real deal. Watch out for the Over-Bought in a Weak Trending Market.
Oats – This is the one I’ve been waiting for. The only future that might meet all 10 criteria of my check list so I need to stay in it for the long haul if possible. It came down and stopped me out for a good gain but then it found some buyers and I jumped back on when it formed the handle and broke out. I’m long Oats both in the front month and in the H7 contract and both are preforming nicely.
Cotton – Let’s see if cotton can sustain this push.
Coffee – Just triggered a break out long. The coffee trade seems more like a small swing than a nice big long, when running through the check list, but let’s see if the ADX can breach 30.
Live Cattle – Looking nice off the bottom. Nice gradual rise. 3 days had tests of whole dollar figure. 98 test, 99 test, 100 test so I’ll be looking for a reset here around 97.25 and then look for a handle break out to get a good long. This could be a huge trade.
Hogs – Holy crap! New lows in hogs! It’s insane. Tomorrow will be exciting in the Hog Market.


Screenshot - 10_18_2016 , 3_03_58 PM

Oct 172016

I’m formatting a great check list for Mid/Long term futures swing trading. It uses a combination longer term technical analysis and the Commitments Of Traders reports. Anyone can use it and I highly recommend using the barchart templates listed on my Trade Buddies Live page. I have the check list in different formats and will probably be using them on the shows in the near future if I find some good setups so if you need the check list in a different format please let me know. Right now I’d recommend filling out a check list on Oats and see if it’s good..?
Here’s an example with Corn because I’m watching the AG’s like a hawk and I may make a code that you can add up to give you a good setup for short/Med/Long term trades.

Swing Trade Check List - ZC

4 out of 10 isn’t a good looking setup but sometimes fundamentals and certain levels do play a big part…  Good luck!

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