Oct 182017
 

So much info your going to puke!

I’m just gonna do it. I’ve been working on my trading platform with extreme anal prejudice and if you want it, then you got it. Folks I’m not only gonna upload my 4K “Super Grid” EVERYDAY! but I’m going to upload an additional 12 of my brand new immaculate spread charts that are the MVP of commodity trading. The info that the spread charts gives a trader is very informative and is, in my view, absolutely essential for success. When the future contracts roll from one to another there is certain price action that occurs that has nothing to do with fundamentals or seasonality and if you can spot what the big funds are doing as they move through contracts you can have an important key of information that most traders completely miss. Let’s face it 99% of traders are super lazy and do not want to do any home work. They want someone to hit the button for them. They don’t even want to wipe their own ass…

"The day you stop learning is the day you lose."  ~JVonD

A while back while seeking information on spreads I was trying to find charts for them and there didn’t seem to be any floating around the web that were easily accessible and current. I was pretty much forced to build spread charts in my platforms. Over the past year I’ve been watching them very closely and just recently I have expanded them to 4 different contracts per chart which is HUGE! The information is amazing. The main important information is the Volume and Open Interest. This allows you to see when the funds are starting to build new positions. Once you know when they make their move you can see what direction they will be building. So when the roll out of the front month contract occurs they will be flushing out of it and building into the back months, and it’s not always in the very next active contract.

The information is all in your face but you can’t read the information without charting it. I mean you can do it without the charts but that’s only if you can constantly do math in your head all day long on many different trading instruments. Well, let’s face it, you need charts…  So I setup my charts to plot the spread price action of the front month against the next 3 contracts via the chart below those later contracts. Below the front month contract is actually the 2nd and 4th contracts spread.

This hog spread charts shows you exactly why there are so many crazy gaps and huge price spikes on continuous daily charts. You will NOT be able to ride the HEZ7 contract to 90. The only way to trade hogs to 90 would be to buy all 4 contracts then maybe a half year later your 4 contract trade may be trading 90 if your lucky and the distance sum of the 4 contracts would equal that. Like, buy the 4 contracts at the same time, right now! Hopefully you can ride the Z from 63-68 then sell it there near the expiration, and you have previously bought the G contract for $68 at the same time you bought the Z and you try and ride that one from 68 to 75 till that one rolls, etc, etc… So it’s virtually impossible to trade those huge price spikes on a single contract. Now maybe if a catastrophe like a hog disease kills off half the hogs you may be able to ride that contract up $20 but that’s a very rare occurrence.

Above you can see how the different contracts make the price action seem crazy but once you know what is behind the craziness it all makes a lot more sense. Now you know the secret! or at least a little more of what my thinking is. But of coarse I’m not a trading professional , and I didn’t learn this from anyone so I can’t say if the info here is good or bad but I’m just trying to figure it all out one day at a time. Shoot me a comment if you think you can add anything. Thanks!

Feel free to visit the #TradeBuddiesLive page and you’ll find 12 spread charts and a whole bunch of other great trading resources.

Hope it helps. Cheers!  ~J    =D

May 032017
 

Just moved to Longmont, CO and got their new fiber optic internet. Watch the insane jaw-dropping speed of the internet with out the throttle down that the corporate jerks do. My router can’t even come close to keeping up. $45/m
F-YOU COMCAST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Feb 022016
 

After falling for some malware BS recently I found an old “system image” that I made a while back that I made when my computer was running perfect. This is a must do if your a computer freak like me. Make a “System Image” of your Windows in case you get a virus. It’s pretty easy to never have an issue again.

  • Go to the “Backup and Restore” area of the control panel.
  • Click the “Create a system image” button on the left.

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  • Save it to a hard-drive.  DONE!
  • Be aware that you will be restoring the drive as it was so be sure and get you personal data off of it. I’d recommend using a completely different drive for all your personal data.
  • To reinstall your system image go to that “Backup and Restore” and click the “Recover system settings or your computer”.
  • 2016-02-02_23-25-48Click the “Advanced recovery methods” button on the bottom.
  • 2016-02-02_23-30-26Click on the “Use a system image you created earlier…” button.
  • Skip backup and “Restart” your computer.
  • When your computer comes back on let it scan for images.
  • Then select what image you want to restore.
  • It will reinstall you system image and you should be good.
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