Nov 072016

Wow!  Full on tests on just about everything AG & Live Stock. Seems most markets have now turned from a supply market to a demand market.

WHEAT chop… I kept trying to grab the WHEAT break out at 420 but I got grassed (weak trending market) so I’ve been patiently waiting. So here we can see a nice pull back but if you notice today’s price action there is a wick into the close. They tried to push it lower but buyers stepped in at those lower prices and it closed up nicely off the bottom. We were about to see a bearish engulfing but with the pull back we should see some upside tomorrow.


CORN tested that 345 which is what Bubba was talking about buying a week ago and we can see today there was a major base created there intraday where hardly any traded the 345 but the 345.25 was bought up and it held into the close. I will most likely buy this following this price action. Everyday there seems to be good demand coming in. Watch tomorrow for a break out!



BEANS was looking for the close above 1000 but didn’t get that although it did test it. If it is very bullish above 1000 take it long and you can have a pretty tight stop just below the 1000 or an add in a little lower. I almost want a “Buy Stop” GTC just above the 1000.

OATS was a great trade for me but now we see it wants more. But if you look at the bigger picture, like the 1 year volume profile, it is on major resistance. If it can’t punch through the 230 I may just have to short this thing but I really don’t like the long here especially cause the tweezer top.


LIVE STOCK!!! Bought Feeder Cattle off the floor. I have a great trade with a good stop for profit. The mid price was below my stop into the server close but the pit close was well above my stop. They wicked new lows and closed above that with a good cushion. Seems there is buyers and strong value here on all live stock. There’s wicks on the bottoms showing that they tested some key areas and that buying had come in. Look at the whole numbers. 116, 100, 47


Don’t forget to look at the different contracts and not just active. What I thought was going to be the most boring chop day ended up showing some major key signs.
GOOD LUCK!  I’m bullish here in just about all the Ags, and live stock above, besides Oats, with the price action.

Nov 022016

I was interested to see how big 100,000 ton’s of corn really is. I get export updates emailed to me daily that look like this.


Found a vid of a crap load of corn.

Oct 182016

Grains – Pull back maybe coming up on the 3 main grains. Wheat, Corn, and Beans. If they form a handle and break out it could be the real deal. Watch out for the Over-Bought in a Weak Trending Market.
Oats – This is the one I’ve been waiting for. The only future that might meet all 10 criteria of my check list so I need to stay in it for the long haul if possible. It came down and stopped me out for a good gain but then it found some buyers and I jumped back on when it formed the handle and broke out. I’m long Oats both in the front month and in the H7 contract and both are preforming nicely.
Cotton – Let’s see if cotton can sustain this push.
Coffee – Just triggered a break out long. The coffee trade seems more like a small swing than a nice big long, when running through the check list, but let’s see if the ADX can breach 30.
Live Cattle – Looking nice off the bottom. Nice gradual rise. 3 days had tests of whole dollar figure. 98 test, 99 test, 100 test so I’ll be looking for a reset here around 97.25 and then look for a handle break out to get a good long. This could be a huge trade.
Hogs – Holy crap! New lows in hogs! It’s insane. Tomorrow will be exciting in the Hog Market.


Screenshot - 10_18_2016 , 3_03_58 PM

© 2007 JVonD Productions All Rights Reserved CONTACT